D. H. Mellor
London: Routledge, 2005, pp. xi+152
ISBN: 0415282500 hardback; 0415282519 paperback
eISBN: 0203504860 Taylor & Francis eBooks
This book introduces and explains the principal concepts and applications of probability. It is for philosophers and others who want to understand probability as we apply it in our working and everyday lives. The role of probability in modern theories of knowledge, inference, induction, causation, laws of nature, action and decisionmaking makes an understanding of it especially important to philosophers and students of philosophy, for whom the book is intended both as a textbook and a work of reference. (It is however not a course in mathematical probability, of which it uses only the simplest results.) The book distinguishes the three basic kinds of probability  physical, epistemic, and subjective  and introduces and assesses the main theories and interpretations of them. The topics and concepts covered include chance, frequency, possibility, propensity, credence, confirmation and Bayesianism.
Review by Antony Eagle in Mind 115 (2006), 7737
Review by Mauricio Suarez in Theoria 70 (2011), 99103
Preface Introduction and Summary

2. Epistemic and Other Probabilities 3. Inductive Logic 4. Chances as Evidence 5. Confirmation Relations 2. The Pro Rata Rule 3. Epistemic Probabilities 4. Problems with Priors 5. Prior Credences 6. Bayes's Theorem 7. Bayesianism 2. Consistency 3. Reliability 4. Uncertain Evidence 2. Bayes's Proposition 3 3. Decisions and Credences 4. Conditional Bets 5. Imaging 6. NonBayesian Behaviour 7. Conclusion 2. The Large Numbers Link 3. Independence 4. Chances and Estimates 5. Exchangeability 6. Frequencies and Credences 7. Subjectivism References 